Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.17
2-3 Goals
33%
2.33
4-5 Goals
27%
2.3
6+ Goals
19%
3.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.34
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
3%
21.8
X/1
20%
4.1
X/2
7%
22.65
X/X
6%
11.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
17.9
2/2
6%
17.2
2/X
6%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.9 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
78%
-10.7pp
15%
Draw
13%
+1.6pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+9.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
2.63/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.26
+20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
451 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
50.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.0 Crosses 13.7
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodo/Glimt
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Lilleström
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.58 xG 0.95
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
564 Passes 342
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
40 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2026 Lilleström Lilleström 0-2 HT 0-1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
22.03.2026 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 4-0 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOK
01.12.2024 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 5-2 HT 2-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
01.05.2024 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-4 HT 2-2 Lilleström Lilleström NOK
14.04.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 0-5 HT 0-1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
30.10.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3-1 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodo/Glimt
4-0
AWAY Lilleström
2.15 xG 0.38
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
546 Passes 378
44 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bodo/Glimt vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo/Glimt cruised past Lilleström 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bodo/Glimt as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 2.15 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.17 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of Bodo/Glimt vs Lilleström?

Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo/Glimt vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bodo/Glimt 67%, draw 15%, Lilleström 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodo/Glimt), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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