Valerenga 0-3 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 31 Jul 2026

Valerenga
0-3 HT 0-1
HamKam
📅31/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Valerenga vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.58
6+ Goals
15%
6.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.92
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
16%
4.35
X/2
7%
10.75
X/X
6%
6.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.95
2/2
12%
7.64
2/X
6%
15.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.95 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.1pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.5pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valerenga v HamKam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
2.10/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.51
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
22.7 Crosses 21.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2

Valerenga vs HamKam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HamKam
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.88 xG 0.79
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
465 Passes 238
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.05.2026 HamKam HamKam 1-0 HT 1-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
19.10.2025 HamKam HamKam 2-1 HT 1-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
16.05.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
08.05.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 2-2 HT 2-0 HamKam HamKam NOK
26.11.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
16.05.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 3-0 HT 3-0 HamKam HamKam NOR

Valerenga 0-3 HamKam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
0-3
AWAY HamKam
0.69 xG 1.40
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
244 Passes 469
19 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam swept aside Valerenga 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Valerenga at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.69 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valerenga and 1.00 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs HamKam?

Valerenga 0-3 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 56%, draw 18%, HamKam 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Valerenga), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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