HamKam 1-0 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
13%
9.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.45
1/2
7%
23.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
9%
6.69
X/2
17%
5.18
X/X
10%
5.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
29.0
2/2
14%
2.99
2/X
8%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.39/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.03
+13% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +54%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
20.1 Crosses 21.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Valerenga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.83 xG 1.85
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
227 Passes 435
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 HamKam HamKam 2-1 HT 1-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
16.05.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
08.05.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 2-2 HT 2-0 HamKam HamKam NOK
26.11.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
16.05.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 3-0 HT 3-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
14.08.2022 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
1-0
AWAY Valerenga
0.53 xG 1.57
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
260 Passes 517
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam squeezed past Valerenga 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; HamKam found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HamKam had 35% of the ball to Valerenga's 65%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.53 to 1.57 — on chances, Valerenga could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HamKam and 1.67 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Valerenga?

HamKam 1-0 Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HamKam 37%, draw 26%, Valerenga 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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