Valerenga 1-1 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 May 2025

Valerenga
1-1 HT 1-1
HamKam
📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Valerenga vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.02
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
16%
4.17
X/2
8%
10.8
X/X
9%
5.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
21.8
2/2
9%
8.55
2/X
7%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valerenga v HamKam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +14%
1.93/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.56
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -13%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
36.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
23.5 Crosses 20.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2

Valerenga vs HamKam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
2W-4D-0L
AWAY HamKam
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.69 xG 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
469 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.05.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 2-2 HT 2-0 HamKam HamKam NOK
26.11.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
16.05.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 3-0 HT 3-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
14.08.2022 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
16.05.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
10.08.2008 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR

Valerenga 1-1 HamKam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
1-1
AWAY HamKam
1.49 xG 0.94
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
380 Passes 208
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
31 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga and HamKam shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Valerenga at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valerenga had 60% of the ball to HamKam's 40%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.49 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Valerenga and 0.83 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs HamKam?

Valerenga 1-1 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 56%, draw 22%, HamKam 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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