Brann 2-2 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 May 2025

Brann
2-2 HT 1-1
Sarpsborg 08
📅16/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
15%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.3
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.65
X/2
8%
9.06
X/X
13%
5.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.7
2/2
16%
6.38
2/X
6%
14.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 7% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.8pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brann v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.90/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.51
-2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
36.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
19.3 Crosses 16.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.56
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
415 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Brann Brann 1-3 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
20.07.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-1 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR
03.09.2023 Brann Brann 1-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
13.05.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 HT 2-0 Brann Brann NOR
12.12.2021 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
13.06.2021 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-0 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR

Brann 2-2 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
2-2
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.87 xG 1.75
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
378 Passes 219
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
42 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brann vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann and Sarpsborg 08 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brann at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brann had 62% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 38%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.87 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brann and 1.17 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Brann vs Sarpsborg 08?

Brann 2-2 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Brann 47%, draw 24%, Sarpsborg 08 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brann) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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