Rosenborg 1-0 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.31
2-3 Goals
38%
2.29
4-5 Goals
30%
2.51
6+ Goals
13%
4.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.29
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
27.0
X/1
20%
4.0
X/2
3%
30.0
X/X
9%
11.35
2/1
13%
21.65
2/2
7%
25.0
2/X
5%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
-13.7pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.7pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.37/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.37
-4% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +6%
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
459 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 69%
40.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
24.8 Crosses 12.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Haugesund
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.98 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-0 HT 2-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
21.04.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 1-3 HT 0-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
06.08.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.05.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
11.09.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 2-1 HT 1-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
26.05.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-3 HT 1-3 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
1-0
AWAY Haugesund
3.48 xG 0.26
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
538 Passes 233
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
58 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg squeezed past Haugesund 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rosenborg had 65% of the ball to Haugesund's 35%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 3.48 to 0.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rosenborg's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rosenborg and 1.17 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Haugesund?

Rosenborg 1-0 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 67%, draw 20%, Haugesund 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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