Rosenborg 4-0 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
14%
7.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.3
X/1
11%
3.69
X/2
9%
15.15
X/X
9%
7.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
20.9
2/2
9%
11.15
2/X
8%
18.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 13% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.69/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.51
+4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.0 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Haugesund
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.53 xG 0.81
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
402 Passes 311
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 1-3 HT 0-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
06.08.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.05.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
11.09.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 2-1 HT 1-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
26.05.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-3 HT 1-3 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
27.10.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
4-0
AWAY Haugesund
3.72 xG 0.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
28 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 1
399 Passes 305
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
73 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg ran out comfortable winners over Haugesund 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Rosenborg had 55% of the ball to Haugesund's 45%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 3.72 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rosenborg and 1.17 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Haugesund?

Rosenborg 4-0 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 54%, draw 22%, Haugesund 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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