Tromsö 3-0 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Sep 2024

Tromsö
3-0 HT 3-0
Sandefjord
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Tromsö vs Sandefjord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
13%
4.08
X/2
9%
9.22
X/X
8%
5.45
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
16%
6.82
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
15.05
Value flag · 2/X at 15.05 — our 9% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tromsö v Sandefjord — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.80/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.84
-23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.5 Crosses 18.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Tromsö vs Sandefjord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sandefjord
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.46 xG 1.03
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 454
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.07.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 0-2 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
20.08.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
16.04.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
30.07.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 3-0 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
26.06.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
22.08.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-1 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR

Tromsö 3-0 Sandefjord — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
3-0
AWAY Sandefjord
2.05 xG 0.73
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 9
297 Passes 519
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
35 Box Touches 37
19 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö ran out comfortable winners over Sandefjord 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tromsö had 39% of the ball to Sandefjord's 61%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.05 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tromsö and 0.67 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Sandefjord?

Tromsö 3-0 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 44%, draw 26%, Sandefjord 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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