Brann 4-1 Bodo/Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.87
2-3 Goals
32%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
16%
7.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.76
1/2
9%
24.0
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
13%
6.23
X/2
7%
5.58
X/X
12%
5.46
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
25%
3.23
2/X
6%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +22%
1.47/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.14
-18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
27.1 Crosses 16.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bodo/Glimt
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.34 xG 1.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
336 Passes 450
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.07.2024 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 5-1 HT 2-0 Brann Brann NOR
26.11.2023 Brann Brann 4-2 HT 3-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
29.04.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-2 HT 0-2 Brann Brann NOR
05.12.2021 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-2 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
24.05.2021 Brann Brann 1-2 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
20.09.2020 Brann Brann 1-3 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
POST-MATCH Brann vs Bodo/Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann cruised past Bodo/Glimt 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bodo/Glimt at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brann and 2.67 for Bodo/Glimt.

What was the final score of Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?

Brann 4-1 Bodo/Glimt in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brann 35%, draw 24%, Bodo/Glimt 42%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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