Bodo/Glimt 5-1 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.38
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.6
X/2
10%
8.45
X/X
10%
5.68
2/1
8%
21.15
2/2
13%
5.55
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.56/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.72
+18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
19.8 Crosses 17.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodo/Glimt
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Brann
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.12 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
451 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Brann Brann 4-2 HT 3-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
29.04.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-2 HT 0-2 Brann Brann NOR
05.12.2021 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-2 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
24.05.2021 Brann Brann 1-2 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
20.09.2020 Brann Brann 1-3 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
05.07.2020 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 5-0 HT 4-0 Brann Brann NOR
POST-MATCH Bodo/Glimt vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo/Glimt swept aside Brann 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bodo/Glimt as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.67 for Brann.

What was the final score of Bodo/Glimt vs Brann?

Bodo/Glimt 5-1 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo/Glimt vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bodo/Glimt 44%, draw 25%, Brann 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodo/Glimt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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