Rosenborg 2-1 Odds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 7 Jul 2024

Rosenborg
2-1 HT 2-0
Odds BK
📅07/07/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Rosenborg vs Odds BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
6.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.05
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
11%
4.1
X/2
7%
9.86
X/X
10%
6.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.65
2/2
14%
6.7
2/X
7%
15.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.65 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rosenborg v Odds BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Odds BK EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +9%
1.56/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.56
+5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.2 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Rosenborg vs Odds BK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Odds BK
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
361 Passes 432
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.07.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-2 HT 0-2 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
30.04.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
30.07.2022 Odds BK Odds BK 2-3 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
10.04.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
22.08.2021 Rosenborg Rosenborg 5-0 HT 3-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
04.07.2021 Odds BK Odds BK 2-2 HT 1-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR

Rosenborg 2-1 Odds BK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
2-1
AWAY Odds BK
1.39 xG 0.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
399 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Odds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg nicked a narrow win over Odds BK 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rosenborg had 54% of the ball to Odds BK's 46%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.39 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rosenborg and 1.00 for Odds BK.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Odds BK?

Rosenborg 2-1 Odds BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Odds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 48%, draw 24%, Odds BK 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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