Fredrikstad 1-0 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.41
Over 2.5
35%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
15%
6.88
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.81
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
3%
16.3
X/1
13%
4.09
X/2
15%
7.92
X/X
21%
3.49
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
6%
7.52
2/X
12%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.0pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.4pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
67%
-1.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
33%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 25%
+15% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.35/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.34
+6% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
16.0 Crosses 11.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.77 xG 0.71
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 Passes 373
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOK
04.08.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
12.05.2024 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-4 HT 0-4 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
13.08.2023 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 2-1 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
16.05.2023 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
22.08.2022 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 2-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
1-0
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.06 xG 1.24
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
279 Passes 485
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad edged past KFUM Oslo 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 36% / 23% — and on the day Fredrikstad made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 38% of the ball to KFUM Oslo's 62%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 1.06 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fredrikstad and 0.83 for KFUM Oslo.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs KFUM Oslo?

Fredrikstad 1-0 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 40%, draw 36%, KFUM Oslo 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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