Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brann v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
2-1
HT 2-0
Brann
NOR
2-1
HT 0-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
0-0
HT 0-0
Brann
NOR
1-1
HT 0-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Brann 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 got the better of Brann 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Brann at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Brann had 71% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 29%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.49 to 2.62.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brann and 0.83 for Sarpsborg 08.
What was the final score of Brann vs Sarpsborg 08?
Brann 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brann vs Sarpsborg 08?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Brann 58%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brann) went the other way.