HamKam 1-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.87
6+ Goals
9%
8.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.6 — our 27% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.93
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
10%
12.55
X/1
10%
5.14
X/2
11%
6.71
X/X
15%
5.4
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
17%
4.25
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
43%
-11.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.4pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.10/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.67
-26% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
21.3 Crosses 15.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sandefjord
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.84 xG 0.74
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
215 Passes 390
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.06.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
08.10.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
10.04.2023 HamKam HamKam 2-0 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
30.10.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
18.04.2022 HamKam HamKam 3-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
29.09.2019 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
1-1
AWAY Sandefjord
1.03 xG 0.65
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
221 Passes 472
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam and Sandefjord shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, HamKam had 37% of the ball to Sandefjord's 63%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.03 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HamKam had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for HamKam and 0.67 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Sandefjord?

HamKam 1-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split HamKam 32%, draw 31%, Sandefjord 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandefjord) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandefjord) ✓ BTTS Yes
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