Rosenborg 2-1 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Sep 2024

Rosenborg
2-1 HT 0-1
Molde
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Rosenborg vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.12
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
13%
5.16
X/2
11%
6.52
X/X
15%
4.77
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.34
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rosenborg v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.64/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.52
+1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.1 Crosses 13.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Rosenborg vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Molde
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 1.52
52% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Molde Molde 2-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
05.11.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-1 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
16.04.2023 Molde Molde 1-1 HT 1-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
23.10.2022 Molde Molde 2-1 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
24.04.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
21.11.2021 Molde Molde 4-1 HT 2-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR

Rosenborg 2-1 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
2-1
AWAY Molde
0.88 xG 0.53
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
509 Passes 134
86% Pass Accuracy 55%
37 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg squeezed past Molde 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Rosenborg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rosenborg had 71% of the ball to Molde's 29%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 0.88 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rosenborg and 1.67 for Molde.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Molde?

Rosenborg 2-1 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 39%, draw 28%, Molde 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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