Kristiansund BK 2-2 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.16
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
8%
5.39
X/2
12%
6.39
X/X
13%
5.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.45
2/2
12%
4.02
2/X
9%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.88/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.43
+30% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.9 Crosses 16.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristiansund BK
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Haugesund
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
325 Passes 281
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
16.10.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-1 HT 0-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
08.05.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 2-0 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
18.09.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 3-2 HT 1-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
20.06.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 3-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
22.12.2020 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-3 HT 1-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristiansund BK
2-2
AWAY Haugesund
1.53 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
323 Passes 439
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kristiansund BK vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund BK and Haugesund couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Kristiansund BK had 44% of the ball to Haugesund's 56%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.53 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haugesund led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kristiansund BK and 2.00 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Kristiansund BK vs Haugesund?

Kristiansund BK 2-2 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund BK vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kristiansund BK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund BK 40%, draw 28%, Haugesund 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kristiansund BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kristiansund BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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