Valerenga 2-2 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 39%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.38/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.24
-6% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
3W-3D-0L
AWAY HamKam
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.69 xG 0.75
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
469 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
16.05.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 3-0 HT 3-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
14.08.2022 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
16.05.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
10.08.2008 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
05.06.2008 Valerenga Valerenga 3-0 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
2-2
AWAY HamKam
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga and HamKam shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was HamKam at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Valerenga had 50% of the ball to HamKam's 50%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Valerenga and 0.50 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs HamKam?

Valerenga 2-2 HamKam in the Norway - NM Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated an HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 33%, draw 24%, HamKam 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HamKam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HamKam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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