Raufoss 2-3 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.9
Over 2.5
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.2pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 57%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.03
-38% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
279 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-0 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
04.06.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 1-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
05.09.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 2-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
27.07.2022 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-4 HT 0-3 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
02.10.2021 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
12.07.2021 Raufoss Raufoss 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raufoss
2-3
AWAY Fredrikstad
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad nicked a narrow win over Raufoss 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Raufoss had 33% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 67%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Raufoss and 1.17 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Fredrikstad?

Raufoss 2-3 Fredrikstad in the Norway - NM Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 28%, draw 24%, Fredrikstad 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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