Molde 4-2 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
15%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.87
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.35
X/1
15%
3.88
X/2
12%
11.6
X/X
11%
6.79
2/1
8%
19.8
2/2
9%
8.15
2/X
6%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-14.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.85/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/3.72
+9% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.08 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
410 Passes 416
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-3 HT 0-2 Molde Molde NOR
22.07.2023 Molde Molde 5-1 HT 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
12.07.2023 Molde Molde 3-1 HT 3-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOK
28.08.2022 Molde Molde 4-1 HT 3-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
26.05.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-2 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
20.03.2022 Molde Molde 4-2 HT 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOK
POST-MATCH Molde vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde saw off Sarpsborg 08 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Molde and 1.17 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Molde vs Sarpsborg 08?

Molde 4-2 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - NM Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Molde 48%, draw 23%, Sarpsborg 08 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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