HamKam 2-1 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 19 Oct 2025

HamKam
2-1 HT 1-0
Valerenga
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

HamKam vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
8.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.33
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
13%
5.64
X/2
14%
6.2
X/X
9%
5.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.0
2/2
19%
3.86
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.0pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HamKam v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.30/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.28
-22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
22.1 Crosses 19.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

HamKam vs Valerenga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Valerenga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.79 xG 1.65
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
221 Passes 451
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 37
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.05.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
08.05.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 2-2 HT 2-0 HamKam HamKam NOK
26.11.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
16.05.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 3-0 HT 3-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
14.08.2022 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
16.05.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR

HamKam 2-1 Valerenga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
2-1
AWAY Valerenga
0.95 xG 2.18
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
244 Passes 438
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam nicked a narrow win over Valerenga 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 39% — and on the day HamKam made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, HamKam had 39% of the ball to Valerenga's 61%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 0.95 to 2.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Valerenga.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HamKam and 1.67 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Valerenga?

HamKam 2-1 Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split HamKam 38%, draw 22%, Valerenga 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valerenga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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