Tromsö 1-3 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 19 Oct 2025

Tromsö
1-3 HT 1-1
Viking
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Tromsö vs Viking Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
13.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.27
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
18%
5.24
X/2
13%
6.33
X/X
8%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
26.0
2/2
9%
4.39
2/X
9%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
41%
+6.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.9pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tromsö v Viking — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +1%
1.37/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.22
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
16.9 Crosses 17.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Tromsö vs Viking Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Viking
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.34 xG 1.71
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
331 Passes 451
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.04.2025 Viking Viking 4-4 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
01.09.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 2-2 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
05.05.2024 Viking Viking 2-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
22.10.2023 Viking Viking 3-4 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
23.04.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
18.09.2022 Viking Viking 2-2 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR

Tromsö 1-3 Viking — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
1-3
AWAY Viking
1.63 xG 2.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
474 Passes 238
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking beat Tromsö 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tromsö at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tromsö had 63% of the ball to Viking's 37%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.63 to 2.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tromsö and 2.33 for Viking.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Viking?

Tromsö 1-3 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 48%, draw 23%, Viking 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tromsö) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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