Viking 4-4 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Apr 2025

Viking
4-4 HT 0-1
Tromsö
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Viking vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.79
2-3 Goals
35%
1.97
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
15%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.28
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
19%
4.6
X/2
8%
9.02
X/X
11%
6.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.5
2/2
9%
6.39
2/X
7%
14.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viking v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.99/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.50
+25% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
24.3 Crosses 12.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Viking vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Tromsö
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.52 xG 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
449 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 2-2 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
05.05.2024 Viking Viking 2-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
22.10.2023 Viking Viking 3-4 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
23.04.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
18.09.2022 Viking Viking 2-2 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
22.05.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR

Viking 4-4 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
4-4
AWAY Tromsö
2.52 xG 2.20
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
457 Passes 282
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
56 Box Touches 17
49 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viking vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking and Tromsö couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 0-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Viking at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Viking had 61% of the ball to Tromsö's 39%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.52 to 2.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Viking and 1.83 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Viking vs Tromsö?

Viking 4-4 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Viking 54%, draw 25%, Tromsö 21%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viking) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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