Haugesund 0-0 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.06
6+ Goals
12%
18.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.06 — our 24% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
19%
6.0
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
7%
15.0
X/1
13%
7.58
X/2
13%
4.51
X/X
11%
4.58
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
17%
2.72
2/X
5%
14.05
Value flag · 1/1 at 6.0 — our 19% vs market 12.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+12.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-9.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.12/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/2.62
-32% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -59%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.6 Crosses 19.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haugesund
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.04 xG 1.51
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
408 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.08.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
14.08.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
07.10.2012 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
13.05.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
16.10.2011 Haugesund Haugesund 3-2 HT 2-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
29.06.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
0-0
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.72 xG 0.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
244 Passes 374
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haugesund and Fredrikstad fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Haugesund had 42% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 58%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.72 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haugesund had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Haugesund and 0.67 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs Fredrikstad?

Haugesund 0-0 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 39%, draw 24%, Fredrikstad 37%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Haugesund) ✗ Over 2.5
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