Kristiansund BK 0-2 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.44
2-3 Goals
35%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.44 — our 30% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.07
1/2
7%
21.95
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
15%
7.47
X/2
20%
4.96
X/X
11%
5.61
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
16%
2.71
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · X/1 at 7.47 — our 15% vs market 10.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.7pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 50%
+20% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.71/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.08
+33% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
17.5 Crosses 22.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristiansund BK
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Valerenga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
277 Passes 421
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 0-2 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
06.12.2023 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-2 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
11.09.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 3-2 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
10.07.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 3-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
12.12.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 2-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
16.05.2021 Valerenga Valerenga 1-2 HT 0-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristiansund BK
0-2
AWAY Valerenga
1.01 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
314 Passes 376
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 26
28 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga beat Kristiansund BK 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kristiansund BK had 47% of the ball to Valerenga's 53%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.01 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kristiansund BK had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kristiansund BK and 1.50 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga?

Kristiansund BK 0-2 Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund BK 34%, draw 24%, Valerenga 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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