Sarpsborg 08 vs Stromsgodset Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Stromsgodset — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Stromsgodset Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Stromsgodset
NOR
5-2
HT 3-2
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
3-1
HT 2-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
5-1
HT 4-1
Stromsgodset
NOR
Sarpsborg 08 2-3 Stromsgodset — Actual Match Statistics
Stromsgodset edged past Sarpsborg 08 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Sarpsborg 08 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 51% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 49%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.06 to 1.65 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sarpsborg 08.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 2.67 for Stromsgodset.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Stromsgodset?
Sarpsborg 08 2-3 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Stromsgodset?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 48%, draw 26%, Stromsgodset 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) went the other way.