Stromsgodset vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stromsgodset v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
Stromsgodset vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Stromsgodset
NOR
5-2
HT 3-2
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
3-1
HT 2-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
5-1
HT 4-1
Stromsgodset
NOR
5-0
HT 3-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Stromsgodset 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
Stromsgodset nicked a narrow win over Sarpsborg 08 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Stromsgodset as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Stromsgodset had 31% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 69%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.74 to 1.60.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.67 for Sarpsborg 08.
What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Sarpsborg 08?
Stromsgodset 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Sarpsborg 08?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 50%, draw 23%, Sarpsborg 08 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stromsgodset), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.