HamKam 5-0 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Sep 2024

HamKam
5-0 HT 4-0
Lilleström
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

HamKam vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.15
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
12%
5.2
X/2
20%
6.4
X/X
14%
4.89
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
7%
4.22
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HamKam v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.07/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.50
-28% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
22.0 Crosses 20.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

HamKam vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Lilleström
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 1.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
293 Passes 356
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 1-1 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
30.07.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 2-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
29.05.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
13.11.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
02.04.2022 HamKam HamKam 2-2 HT 2-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
06.12.2020 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1

HamKam 5-0 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
5-0
AWAY Lilleström
3.17 xG 1.47
40% Ball Possession 60%
25 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
244 Passes 405
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam swept aside Lilleström 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; HamKam found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, HamKam had 40% of the ball to Lilleström's 60%, shots finished 25-19, expected goals 3.17 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HamKam and 1.67 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Lilleström?

HamKam 5-0 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated a HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split HamKam 37%, draw 29%, Lilleström 34%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HamKam) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HamKam) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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