Lilleström 1-1 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
3.74
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.95
X/1
19%
3.78
X/2
6%
10.9
X/X
9%
5.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.3
2/2
15%
8.49
2/X
8%
16.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.5pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.91/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.63
+4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
27.9 Crosses 19.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
3W-3D-0L
AWAY HamKam
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.08
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
377 Passes 264
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 27
32 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
30.07.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 2-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
29.05.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
13.11.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
02.04.2022 HamKam HamKam 2-2 HT 2-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
06.12.2020 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
07.07.2020 Lilleström Lilleström 2-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
1-1
AWAY HamKam
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
290 Passes 379
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström and HamKam shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lilleström at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Lilleström had 44% of the ball to HamKam's 56%, shots finished 10-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lilleström and 0.83 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs HamKam?

Lilleström 1-1 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 50%, draw 23%, HamKam 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lilleström) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
28 Apr 2024
18:00 Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord Analysis →
18:00 KFUM Oslo vs Brann Analysis →
18:00 Stromsgodset vs Kristiansund BK Analysis →
18:00 Molde vs Haugesund Analysis →
18:00 Tromsö vs Sarpsborg 08 Analysis →
20:15 Odds BK vs Viking Analysis →