Stromsgodset 2-2 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.15
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
19%
4.06
X/2
8%
9.95
X/X
11%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.6
2/2
11%
7.58
2/X
7%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -7%
1.86/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.62
-6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
387 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
27.0 Crosses 15.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.00 xG 1.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
279 Passes 213
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 4-1 HT 2-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
16.05.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-3 HT 0-2 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
12.09.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 0-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
24.05.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
29.11.2020 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 2-1 HT 0-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
05.07.2020 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-2 HT 0-2 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
2-2
AWAY Kristiansund BK
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 3
370 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset and Kristiansund BK couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Stromsgodset at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 56% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 44%, shots finished 24-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kristiansund BK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.33 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Kristiansund BK?

Stromsgodset 2-2 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 49%, draw 26%, Kristiansund BK 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stromsgodset) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✓ Over 2.5
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