Molde 2-1 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Apr 2024

Molde
2-1 HT 2-0
Haugesund
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Molde vs Haugesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.71
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
30%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
21.45
X/1
13%
3.51
X/2
6%
17.65
X/X
7%
7.47
2/1
11%
21.85
2/2
10%
13.65
2/X
6%
21.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-13.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Molde v Haugesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
2.29/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.70
+15% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +36%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
456 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
37.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.7 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Molde vs Haugesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Haugesund
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 335
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
25.06.2023 Molde Molde 1-0 HT 1-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
21.08.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 0-1 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
17.07.2022 Molde Molde 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
12.12.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
08.08.2021 Molde Molde 5-4 HT 3-3 Haugesund Haugesund NOR

Molde 2-1 Haugesund — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
2-1
AWAY Haugesund
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
392 Passes 453
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Molde vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde edged past Haugesund 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Molde had 47% of the ball to Haugesund's 53%, shots finished 14-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Molde and 1.00 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Molde vs Haugesund?

Molde 2-1 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Molde 56%, draw 22%, Haugesund 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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