Fredrikstad 1-0 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
13%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
9%
4.34
X/2
9%
7.64
X/X
15%
4.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
17%
5.85
2/X
7%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.0pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.94/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.61
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sandefjord
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
08.03.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord HAZ
27.09.2016 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
30.04.2016 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR1
02.11.2014 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR1
14.04.2014 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
14.09.2013 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
1-0
AWAY Sandefjord
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
251 Passes 483
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad edged past Sandefjord 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Fredrikstad made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 37% of the ball to Sandefjord's 63%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandefjord led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fredrikstad and 0.83 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord?

Fredrikstad 1-0 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 38%, draw 30%, Sandefjord 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
28 Apr 2024
18:00 Lilleström vs HamKam Analysis →
18:00 KFUM Oslo vs Brann Analysis →
18:00 Stromsgodset vs Kristiansund BK Analysis →
18:00 Molde vs Haugesund Analysis →
18:00 Tromsö vs Sarpsborg 08 Analysis →
20:15 Odds BK vs Viking Analysis →