Stromsgodset 0-3 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.25
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.44
X/2
12%
6.44
X/X
14%
5.03
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
14%
4.21
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.54/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.33
-16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 69%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
21.7 Crosses 18.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 2.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
344 Passes 388
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.07.2025 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-2 HT 2-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
26.10.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
16.05.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 4-1 HT 3-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
27.07.2012 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 5-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
19.05.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-3 HT 0-2 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
28.08.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-1 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
0-3
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.76 xG 1.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
25 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
457 Passes 483
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
43 Box Touches 31
28 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad swept aside Stromsgodset 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Fredrikstad made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 50% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 50%, shots finished 25-16, expected goals 1.76 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.67 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Fredrikstad?

Stromsgodset 0-3 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 36%, draw 28%, Fredrikstad 36%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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