Fredrikstad 3-2 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 25 Jul 2025

Fredrikstad
3-2 HT 2-1
Stromsgodset
📅25/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Fredrikstad vs Stromsgodset Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.14
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
14%
4.45
X/2
8%
9.72
X/X
9%
6.2
2/1
7%
20.3
2/2
9%
7.06
2/X
9%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fredrikstad v Stromsgodset — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.38/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.15
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.8 Crosses 15.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Fredrikstad vs Stromsgodset Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.19 xG 1.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
16.05.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 4-1 HT 3-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
27.07.2012 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 5-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
19.05.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-3 HT 0-2 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
28.08.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-1 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
28.05.2011 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR

Fredrikstad 3-2 Stromsgodset — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
3-2
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.86 xG 1.37
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
380 Passes 299
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
49 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad edged past Stromsgodset 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 55% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 45%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.86 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fredrikstad and 2.17 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Stromsgodset?

Fredrikstad 3-2 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 54%, draw 23%, Stromsgodset 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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