Northcote City 1-0 Eltham Redbacks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.72
Draw
10%
4.08
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
54%
+4.8pp
10%
Draw
21%
-11.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.9pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northcote City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Eltham Redbacks EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.91/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
339 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northcote City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Eltham Redbacks
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.04.2026 Eltham Redbacks 1-1 Northcote City Northcote City AVPL1
POST-MATCH Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northcote City nicked a narrow win over Eltham Redbacks 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Northcote City as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks?

Northcote City 1-0 Eltham Redbacks in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Northcote City 59%, draw 10%, Eltham Redbacks 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northcote City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Northcote City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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