Darlington 1883 1-0 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 28% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-7.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.11/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.32
-15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
28.10.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
28.01.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-2 HT 2-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
20.12.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-3 HT 0-3 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İNFAT
27.08.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
26.12.2021 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
1-0
AWAY Spennymoor Town
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 squeezed past Spennymoor Town 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Darlington 1883 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 42% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 58%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Darlington 1883 and 1.50 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Spennymoor Town?

Darlington 1883 1-0 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 34%, draw 30%, Spennymoor Town 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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