Dumbarton 2-2 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

Dumbarton
2-2 HT 1-1
Kelty Hearts
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.37
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-10.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dumbarton v Kelty Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.86/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.04
+18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
3 Corners 5
The Meetings
09.09.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-3 HT 1-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKCK
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton and Kelty Hearts couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts?

Dumbarton 2-2 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 36%, draw 26%, Kelty Hearts 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kelty Hearts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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