Stenhousemuir 5-1 Annan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

Stenhousemuir
5-1 HT 2-1
Annan Athletic
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Stenhousemuir vs Annan Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 27% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.0pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stenhousemuir v Annan Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.70/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.50
+7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Stenhousemuir vs Annan Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Annan Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
The Meetings
06.05.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
04.03.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-3 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
08.10.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-2 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
06.08.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
02.04.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
05.02.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Annan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir swept aside Annan Athletic 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.33 for Annan Athletic.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Annan Athletic?

Stenhousemuir 5-1 Annan Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Annan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 41%, draw 26%, Annan Athletic 33%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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