Oskarshamns AIK 4-3 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oskarshamns AIK EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 57%
-18% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
0.96/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/2.03
-23% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oskarshamns AIK
1W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Malmö
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 AFC Malmö 1-1 HT 0-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
12.08.2023 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 3-2 HT 1-2 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
27.05.2023 AFC Malmö 4-0 HT 0-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oskarshamns AIK
4-3
AWAY AFC Malmö
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oskarshamns AIK vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oskarshamns AIK nicked a narrow win over AFC Malmö 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Malmö at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Oskarshamns AIK had 38% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 62%, shots finished 12-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oskarshamns AIK and 2.33 for AFC Malmö.

What was the final score of Oskarshamns AIK vs AFC Malmö?

Oskarshamns AIK 4-3 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oskarshamns AIK vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Oskarshamns AIK 29%, draw 26%, AFC Malmö 45%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Malmö) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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