Cacereno 3-0 Mostoles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostoles EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.22/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.34
-12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
327 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
3-0
AWAY Mostoles
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Mostoles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno ran out comfortable winners over Mostoles 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Cacereno had 55% of the ball to Mostoles's 45%, shots finished 20-7.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Mostoles?

Cacereno 3-0 Mostoles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Mostoles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 45%, draw 29%, Mostoles 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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