Ejea 3-2 Subiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Aug 2024

Ejea
3-2 HT 0-0
Subiza
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-10.6pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.1pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ejea EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Subiza EU Bookmakers 29%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ejea
3-2
AWAY Subiza
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ejea vs Subiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ejea squeezed past Subiza 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Ejea found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ejea had 49% of the ball to Subiza's 51%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Ejea vs Subiza?

Ejea 3-2 Subiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ejea vs Subiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ejea win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ejea 36%, draw 34%, Subiza 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ejea) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ejea) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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