Bavois 3-0 Basel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bavois EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel II EU Bookmakers 31%
+22% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
2.58/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.28
+38% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bavois
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Basel II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
06.04.2024 Bavois 1-0 HT 1-0 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
30.09.2023 Basel II Basel II 0-2 HT 0-0 Bavois İSV1Y
29.04.2023 Bavois 4-4 HT 2-1 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
22.10.2022 Basel II Basel II 1-3 HT 1-2 Bavois İSV1Y
27.11.2021 Bavois 2-0 HT 1-0 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
18.08.2021 Basel II Basel II 2-3 HT 1-3 Bavois İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bavois
3-0
AWAY Basel II
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bavois vs Basel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bavois swept aside Basel II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bavois as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bavois had 41% of the ball to Basel II's 59%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bavois had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bavois and 1.17 for Basel II.

What was the final score of Bavois vs Basel II?

Bavois 3-0 Basel II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bavois vs Basel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bavois win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bavois 50%, draw 23%, Basel II 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bavois) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bavois) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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