Grotta 2-1 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.41
No
50%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.8pp
50%
BTTS No
33%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grotta EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 54%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.43/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.57
-2% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grotta
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fjölnir
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 5-2 HT 1-1 Grotta Grotta İZL1
16.08.2023 Grotta Grotta 3-3 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
08.06.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 2-2 HT 1-1 Grotta Grotta İZL1
10.09.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-1 HT 0-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
05.07.2022 Grotta Grotta 4-1 HT 2-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
15.07.2021 Grotta Grotta 2-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
POST-MATCH Grotta vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grotta squeezed past Fjölnir 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fjölnir at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grotta had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Grotta and 2.00 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Grotta vs Fjölnir?

Grotta 2-1 Fjölnir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grotta vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grotta 28%, draw 29%, Fjölnir 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fjölnir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✓ Over 2.5
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