San Martin Tucuman 1-0 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
44%
2.66
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.26
Over 2.5
21%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.67
No
71%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
54%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.6pp
44%
Draw
34%
+9.8pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.1pp
79%
Under 2.5
76%
+3.1pp
21%
Over 2.5
24%
-3.1pp
29%
BTTS Yes
33%
-4.3pp
71%
BTTS No
67%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +12%
1.05/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.04
-8% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
3W-2D-1L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.02 xG 1.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
215 Passes 197
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
22.08.2023 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
09.04.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 4-1 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
28.07.2022 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-2 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
02.03.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJK
05.11.2018 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman squeezed past San Martin San Juan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (79%), no to both teams scoring (71%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.33 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs San Martin San Juan?

San Martin Tucuman 1-0 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 33%, draw 44%, San Martin San Juan 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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