Atletico Rafaela 0-1 Chaco For Ever — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.66
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.28
Over 2.5
33%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
34%
-5.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
75%
-7.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
25%
+7.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.9pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaco For Ever EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -28%
0.95/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.60
-10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Rafaela
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Chaco For Ever
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
13.04.2024 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
02.10.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-3 HT 1-1 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever ARJPBN
21.05.2023 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
04.09.2022 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Rafaela vs Chaco For Ever
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaco For Ever edged past Atletico Rafaela 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Rafaela at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chaco For Ever led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Rafaela and 1.50 for Chaco For Ever.

What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs Chaco For Ever?

Atletico Rafaela 0-1 Chaco For Ever in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs Chaco For Ever?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Rafaela win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 42%, draw 28%, Chaco For Ever 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Rafaela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Rafaela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
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