Lafnitz 0-3 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

Lafnitz
0-3 HT 0-0
Ried
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
60%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.9
2-3 Goals
33%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
16%
5.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
10.7
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
19.6
1/X
5%
18.8
X/1
10%
15.4
X/2
17%
3.75
X/X
9%
7.94
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.62
2/X
8%
18.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.6 — our 14% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
60%
Away Win
67%
-7.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 71%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
2.01/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/0.87
+75% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
229 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
Crosses 25.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ried
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
20.05.2024 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-4 HT 0-3 Ried Ried AU2
10.11.2023 Ried Ried 5-0 HT 3-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
05.06.2020 Ried Ried 3-1 HT 2-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
16.08.2019 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-1 HT 0-1 Ried Ried AU2
11.05.2019 Ried Ried 2-0 HT 0-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
19.10.2018 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lafnitz
0-3
AWAY Ried
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried ran out comfortable winners over Lafnitz 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 4-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Lafnitz and 2.50 for Ried.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs Ried?

Lafnitz 0-3 Ried in the Austria - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 18%, draw 22%, Ried 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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31 Aug 2024
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