Shamakhi 0-0 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.0pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.15/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.17
+1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
23.12.2022 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
07.08.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
09.04.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-2 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
19.02.2022 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-1 HT 3-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
06.11.2021 Shamakhi Shamakhi 3-2 HT 1-2 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi and Neftçi PFK fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Neftçi PFK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shamakhi and 2.00 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Neftçi PFK?

Shamakhi 0-0 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 30%, draw 24%, Neftçi PFK 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Neftçi PFK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
31 Aug 2024
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