Kapaz 2-3 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 31 Aug 2024

Kapaz
2-3 HT 2-0
Sabah
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
57%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
13%
+6.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
57%
Away Win
68%
-10.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
0.60/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.55
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sabah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
3 Corners 7
21.04.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-2 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
17.02.2024 Sabah Sabah 3-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 3-4 HT 2-3 Sabah Sabah AZERK
03.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
24.09.2023 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
05.05.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-3 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah edged past Kapaz 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kapaz and 2.67 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Sabah?

Kapaz 2-3 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 20%, draw 24%, Sabah 57%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
31 Aug 2024
16:00 Shamakhi vs Neftçi PFK Analysis →