Kapaz 1-2 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 21 Apr 2024

Kapaz
1-2 HT 0-2
Sabah
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Kapaz vs Sabah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kapaz v Sabah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 54%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.65/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.45
+48% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Kapaz vs Sabah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sabah
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Sabah Sabah 3-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 3-4 HT 2-3 Sabah Sabah AZERK
03.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
24.09.2023 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
05.05.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-3 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
04.03.2023 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah nicked a narrow win over Kapaz 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kapaz and 2.67 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Sabah?

Kapaz 1-2 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 28%, draw 26%, Sabah 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
21 Apr 2024
18:00 Araz Nahçıvan vs Sebail FK Analysis →