Amiens SC 1-0 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
7.04
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
7%
15.35
X/1
13%
8.88
X/2
10%
4.0
X/X
8%
4.78
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.32
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
22%
+12.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 57%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.04/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.79
-32% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
14.6 Crosses 19.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Lorient
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
01.05.2006 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
02.12.2005 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR2
25.10.2005 Lorient Lorient 2-2 HT 1-2 Amiens SC Amiens SC FRLK
11.03.2005 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR2
01.10.2004 Lorient Lorient 1-2 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
22.02.2004 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
1-0
AWAY Lorient
0.75 xG 0.97
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 12
202 Passes 457
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 31
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amiens SC squeezed past Lorient 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lorient at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Amiens SC had 34% of the ball to Lorient's 66%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.75 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amiens SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Amiens SC and 0.83 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Lorient?

Amiens SC 1-0 Lorient in the France - Ligue 2 on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 35%, draw 23%, Lorient 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lorient) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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31 Aug 2024
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