Metz 1-1 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 31 Aug 2024

Metz
1-1 HT 0-1
Stade Lavallois
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Metz vs Stade Lavallois Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.54
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
12%
3.75
X/2
9%
10.6
X/X
16%
4.2
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
10%
9.3
2/X
8%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metz v Stade Lavallois — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metz EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.41/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.39
-20% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
20.1 Crosses 17.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Metz vs Stade Lavallois Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.18 xG 0.84
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
260 Passes 351
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.04.2023 Metz Metz 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
20.08.2022 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 3-3 HT 1-3 Metz Metz FR2
02.02.2016 Metz Metz 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
11.09.2015 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR2
16.05.2014 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-0 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR2
02.08.2013 Metz Metz 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2

Metz 1-1 Stade Lavallois — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
1-1
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.73 xG 0.45
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
506 Passes 176
89% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Metz vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz and Stade Lavallois shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Metz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Metz had 68% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 32%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.73 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Metz and 0.50 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Metz vs Stade Lavallois?

Metz 1-1 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metz vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Metz 45%, draw 31%, Stade Lavallois 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Metz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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